Who will make the College Football Playoff?
The Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season's College Football Playoff.
11/12/2023
Week 12 provides another test for Washington, which travels to Oregon State -- the Huskies third consecutive game against a ranked opponent. As always, the Allstate Playoff Predictor gives you a chance to look into the future and see the ramifications of this week's games.
For the past nine years, the Allstate Playoff Predictor has been painting a week-to-week picture of which teams have a realistic chance to be one of the four in the College Football Playoff, and overall, it has been pretty accurate, if we do say so ourselves. All nine champions were given at least a 65% chance to make the CFP before their championship season even began.
Using that stat and the criteria below to set the table, we give you the chance to pick a team and decide how its season will pan out. According to your choices, the Allstate Playoff Predictor will determine how likely that team is to be one of the four CFP semifinalists.
Choose one team
These are the 10 teams with the highest-percent chance to make the CFP, ordered from most to least likely.
How does {selected-team} finish the remainder of the regular season?
No team has ever made it to the playoff with more than one loss. Two-loss teams have an outside chance, but three or more losses all but exclude a team from the playoff, so that option isn't on the table.
Which {team-value} does {selected-team} lose to?
The three toughest opponents on the schedule are listed here with the percentage chance {selected-team} wins. Choose {team-count}.
Does {selected-team} win its conference title game?
The College Football Playoff committee greatly values conference championships (27 of 32 CFP selections have been conference champs), but it's not a requirement.
{selected-team}'s Chances
If the season plays out exactly as you've selected, the Allstate Playoff Predictor says this is your postseason outlook.
Sorry, this scenario either isn't possible or did not play out in enough of the 200,000 simulations run by the Allstate Playoff Predictor to be analyzed.
Make Playoff
These are your team's chances to win every game left on its schedule, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor.
Week 12 games that matter to the CFP race
The unbeaten Huskies head to Oregon State for what could be their last meeting for some time with Washington moving to the Big Ten next year.
Edited by Chris Grandstaff.
Produced by ESPN Creative Studio: Dominique DeMoe, Heather Donahue, Jarret Gabel and Rachel Weiss.
Data managed by ESPN Analytics: Matt Morris, Lauren Poe and Mitchell Wesson.
